The (real) NCAA tournament starts in about one hour. To kick it off, I present my Overtime% for the first round.
Each game is ranked by the probability that is going into overtime*:
Here are the results
*The theoretical odds of going into overtime are lower than that of actually going into overtime**; there are a few specific things that have to happen to make the game sum to zero - the rankings are still valid though.
**End-of-40-minutes Game-scores fall under the normal distribution, but there is a significant dip around zero.
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